Just for local KMRY Radio purposes, I went ahead and ran the playoff scenarios for 3A districts 4 and 5, just as I did for 4A statewide. With Benton Community, Solon, Mount Vernon, and Vinton-Shellsburg in our listening area, this seemed valid for listeners. So ... I put in the work!
DISTRICT 4
Benton Community takes the district with a win over Central De Witt Week 9. They're assured of no worse than a tie for the district title with a win over Maquoketa this week. Even if they lose out, they still remain in the hunt for a playoff spot unless both Davenport Assumption and Central De Witt win out.
Davenport Assumption can win the district by winning out plus Benton losing out. They're guaranteed a playoff spot with a win over Vinton-Shellsburg plus Benton defeating Central De Witt. They can still be in the running with just a win over Maquoketa, but they will need a little help.
Central De Witt can take the district title by winning out plus an Assumption loss. They are in the playoffs with a win plus Assumption losing out - unless Mount Vernon wins out. There's several other scenarios here, as well.
Mount Vernon is in the playoffs by winning out plus Assumption losing out plus one Benton win. If Benton loses out and Mount Vernon wins out, they'll be involved in a tie for a playoff spot. They'll also be in a tie if they beat Central De Witt, Central De Witt beats Benton, and Assumption loses to Vinton-Shellsburg.
Vinton-Shellsburg is in the playoffs if they win out and Central De Witt loses out. There's also a few tie scenarios if they win out and Assumption and Central De Witt both go 1-1 the last two weeks, but RPI won't be good to the Vikings in a tie.
Maquoketa has been eliminated.
Current RPIs with 2 weeks to go:
DISTRICT 5
Solon takes the district with a win over Grinnell. The Spartans are almost assured of a playoff spot right now - the only way they miss is if they lose out and Fairfield wins out. There's also a tie situation for the title if Solon loses to Grinnell and beats Keokuk while Fairfield wins out.
Grinnell can win the district by beating Solon plus a Fairfield loss. They're in the playoffs with a win, although if Fairfield wins out and Solon beats Keokuk that creates a three-way tie. They can actually still be alive with two losses if Washington wins out.
Fairfield can take the district title by winning out plus Solon losing out. They are at worst in a tie for a playoff spot by beating Grinnell, unless Grinnell beats Solon and Solon beats Keokuk.
Washington can get in a playoff tie by winning out plus Grinnell losing out, but it's doubtful RPI would get them in.
Keokuk and West Burlington have been eliminated.
Current RPIs with 2 weeks to go:
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