Tuesday, October 14, 2014

Guessing 4A - Because Why Not?

Just the eastern side, that is. These are the schools I'm used to, back in the halcyon days of the MVC and the MAC, back when playoff points could be toted up in a spreadsheet, way back last year.

Anyway, just two games left, so the districts are sort of settling out. One 4A district already has their four playoff teams decided, with only placement/seeding left. True,  4A is a bit weird, since they have only five or six teams per district instead of the usual seven or eight. Also, I don't think the 125-mile travel restriction applies to 4A, nor will the state be bound by the old east/west split. In my figuring, though, if the results I expect hold up, it's an easy thing to keep all the east-siders together for the first round.

Onward ...


District 5
Cedar Rapids Kennedy started 0-6. They have a great shot at making the playoffs. How's that for weird?

             Linn-Mar                          5-0
             Cedar Falls                       4-1
             CR Kennedy                     2-3
             Waterloo West                  2-3
             CR Jefferson                      2-3
             Waterloo East                     0-5
           

You could flip a coin (or coins) for that three-way tie for third, if Kennedy beats Waterloo West in Week 9. Kennedy will have beaten West, who beat Jeff, who beat Kennedy, so it goes to the points tiebreaker. There is still a lot of movement possible in that area, so any two of these could actually make the playoffs. I say Kennedy and West here, just because Jeff currently trails in that tiebreak.

District 6
Muscatine is the wild card here, with games left against Prairie and City High. Win them both, the Muskies are an easy second place. Lose them both, and just a three-point win over Ottumwa gets them into the playoffs (that's assuming Ottumwa loses to Prairie in Week 9). I say they beat Prairie and lose to City High, so ...

             CR Washington                5-0
             Iowa City High                 3-2
             Muscatine                         3-2
             Prairie                               2-3
             Ottumwa                            2-3
             Burlington                          0-5
             
Obviously, if my guesses are wrong, shake ups can occur. If Ottumwa beats Prairie, they probably make it in.

District 7
Maybe somewhat of a question between Pleasant Valley and Hempstead. PV is not quite as strong this season as they have been, and Hempstead has a pretty good team. The only difference is who finishes second and who's in third ... these four playoff teams are already known.

             Iowa City West                 4-0
             Pleasant Valley                 3-1
             Dubuque Hempstead       2-2
             Davenport Central           1-3
             Davenport North                 0-4
             
District 8
Not too many questions in this one.

             Bettendorf                          4-0
             North Scott                         3-1
             Dubuque Senior                 2-2
             Clinton                                1-3
             Davenport West                   0-4
             

First-round matchups
It's still 4th place at 1st place, and 3rd place at 2nd place. The state can mix and match east and west all they want, but the way I see it, these east-side matchups work out just fine for the first round.

#4 at #1             Prairie at Linn-Mar
                          Waterloo West at CR Washington
                          Davenport Central at Bettendorf
                          Clinton at Iowa City West

#3 at #2             CR Kennedy at Iowa City High
                          Muscatine at Pleasant Valley
                          Dubuque Hempstead at North Scott
                          Dubuque Senior at Cedar Falls


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